Insights / kr
298040
효성중공업KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.33%
P05–P95 span
18.74%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-8.73%
Outer 90%
4/9(44%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
1/9(11%)
Below median
8/9(89%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.02%P25: -3.04%P50: -0.33%P75: 1.84%P95: 10.72%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 21.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.