Insights / kr
298040
효성중공업KR05/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.89%
P05–P95 span
23.94%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.68%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.32%P25: -2.01%P50: 0.89%P75: 4.44%P95: 15.61%
Computed at: 05/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.