298040

효성중공업KR04/13/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.97%
P05–P95 span
18.10%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+25.43%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.19%P25: -0.97%P50: 0.97%P75: 4.55%P95: 8.91%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.