298020

효성티앤씨KR06/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.36%
P05–P95 span
10.10%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-8.98%
Outer 90%
0/5(0%)
Middle 50%
0/5(0%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.08%P25: -2.44%P50: -0.36%P75: 1.72%P95: 5.02%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.