Insights / kr
298020
효성티앤씨KR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.74%
P05–P95 span
14.94%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-11.82%
Outer 90%
1/6(17%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
0/6(0%)
Below median
6/6(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.82%P25: -0.54%P50: 1.74%P75: 4.19%P95: 8.12%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 29.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.