Insights / kr
298020
효성티앤씨KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.24%
P05–P95 span
13.62%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-19.58%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.80%P25: -5.40%P50: -1.24%P75: 0.36%P95: 3.81%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.