Insights / kr
298020
효성티앤씨KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.93%
P05–P95 span
20.55%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-18.02%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.24%P25: -0.77%P50: 0.93%P75: 4.14%P95: 10.31%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.