Insights / kr
298020
효성티앤씨KR04/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.35%
P05–P95 span
23.39%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.53
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.59%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.62%P25: -1.50%P50: 1.35%P75: 9.25%P95: 15.76%
Computed at: 04/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.