Insights / kr
298020
효성티앤씨KR04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.64%
P05–P95 span
25.20%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.49%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.03%P25: -0.80%P50: 1.64%P75: 5.67%P95: 18.16%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.