285130

SK케미칼KR06/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.55%
P05–P95 span
22.25%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.55
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+14.82%
Outer 90%
0/2(0%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.89%P25: -2.40%P50: -0.55%P75: 2.23%P95: 16.36%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.