Insights / kr
285130
SK케미칼KR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.60%
P05–P95 span
25.18%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+7.48%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
3/5(60%)
Above median
2/5(40%)
Below median
3/5(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.70%P25: -7.37%P50: -2.60%P75: 2.08%P95: 12.48%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.