285130

SK케미칼KR05/27/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.37%
P05–P95 span
19.40%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.61
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+0.45%
Outer 90%
6/9(67%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
1/9(11%)
Below median
8/9(89%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.76%P25: -3.38%P50: -0.37%P75: 2.62%P95: 10.63%

Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 25.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.