Insights / kr
282330
BGF리테일KR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.40%
P05–P95 span
13.55%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+1.91%
Outer 90%
6/6(100%)
Middle 50%
4/6(67%)
Above median
5/6(83%)
Below median
1/6(17%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.99%P25: -2.11%P50: 0.40%P75: 3.62%P95: 6.57%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.