Insights / kr
282330
BGF리테일KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.21%
P05–P95 span
28.51%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.43
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+3.64%
Outer 90%
7/8(88%)
Middle 50%
5/8(63%)
Above median
8/8(100%)
Below median
0/8(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -17.11%P25: -4.04%P50: 0.21%P75: 4.88%P95: 11.40%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.