Insights / kr
282330
BGF리테일KR05/25/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.32%
P05–P95 span
16.43%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.84%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.31%P25: -4.84%P50: -2.32%P75: -0.50%P95: 6.11%
Computed at: 05/25/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.