Insights / kr
282330
BGF리테일KR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
20.98%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.15%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.34%P25: -3.47%P50: 0.00%P75: 4.02%P95: 11.64%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.