Insights / kr
282330
BGF리테일KR04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.52%
P05–P95 span
6.26%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.87
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.11%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.59%P25: -0.71%P50: 0.52%P75: 1.92%P95: 3.67%
Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.