280360

롯데웰푸드KR05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.87%
P05–P95 span
8.48%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.88%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.69%P25: -3.86%P50: -1.87%P75: 0.43%P95: 3.79%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.