280360

롯데웰푸드KR05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.02%
P05–P95 span
13.26%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.42%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.75%P25: -0.80%P50: 1.02%P75: 3.41%P95: 7.51%

Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.