280360

롯데웰푸드KR05/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.88%
P05–P95 span
29.30%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.41
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.16%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -15.42%P25: -4.17%P50: -0.88%P75: 2.34%P95: 13.88%

Computed at: 05/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.