280360

롯데웰푸드KR04/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-3.58%
P05–P95 span
34.15%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.32
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.82%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -22.27%P25: -8.60%P50: -3.58%P75: 0.50%P95: 11.88%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 11.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.