Insights / kr
278470
에이피알KR04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.24%
P05–P95 span
30.41%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.39
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+14.89%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -20.38%P25: -6.71%P50: -0.24%P75: 3.98%P95: 10.03%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 14.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.