Insights / kr
272210
한화시스템KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.36%
P05–P95 span
34.69%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.31
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.30%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.37%P25: -2.53%P50: 1.36%P75: 14.17%P95: 29.32%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.