Insights / kr
271560
오리온KR05/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.50%
P05–P95 span
19.76%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.80%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.18%P25: -3.71%P50: -1.50%P75: 0.93%P95: 8.58%
Computed at: 05/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.