Insights / kr
271560
오리온KR05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.32%
P05–P95 span
11.85%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.54%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.35%P25: -3.46%P50: -1.32%P75: 0.13%P95: 4.50%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.