Insights / kr
271560
오리온KR04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.06%
P05–P95 span
15.58%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.50%
Outer 90%
1/10(10%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.29%P25: -0.70%P50: 2.06%P75: 6.37%P95: 12.29%
Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.