Insights / kr
271560
오리온KR04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.23%
P05–P95 span
14.16%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.16%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.77%P25: -2.20%P50: -0.23%P75: 2.53%P95: 5.39%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.