Insights / kr
267250
HD현대KR06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.34%
P05–P95 span
11.54%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
-2.19%
Outer 90%
3/3(100%)
Middle 50%
1/3(33%)
Above median
0/3(0%)
Below median
3/3(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.81%P25: -3.76%P50: -1.34%P75: 0.42%P95: 2.74%
Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.