Insights / kr
267250
HD현대KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.68%
P05–P95 span
18.35%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-14.69%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.80%P25: -4.06%P50: -0.68%P75: 2.40%P95: 9.56%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.