Insights / kr
267250
HD현대KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.08%
P05–P95 span
11.37%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.48%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.76%P25: -3.06%P50: -1.08%P75: 1.04%P95: 4.62%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.