Insights / kr
267250
HD현대KR05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.32%
P05–P95 span
9.62%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.53%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.59%P25: -4.07%P50: -1.32%P75: 0.49%P95: 2.02%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.