Insights / kr
267250
HD현대KR05/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.84%
P05–P95 span
20.80%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.57%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.61%P25: -1.85%P50: 1.84%P75: 5.84%P95: 11.19%
Computed at: 05/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.