251270

넷마블KR05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.31%
P05–P95 span
18.58%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.88%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.01%P25: -0.21%P50: 1.31%P75: 5.58%P95: 14.57%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.