Insights / kr
251270
넷마블KR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.15%
P05–P95 span
12.76%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.37%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.30%P25: -2.30%P50: -0.15%P75: 1.82%P95: 6.46%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.