241560

두산밥캣KR04/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.38%
P05–P95 span
23.26%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.53
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.57%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.39%P25: -2.19%P50: 0.38%P75: 4.82%P95: 15.86%

Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.