Insights / kr
207940
삼성바이오로직스KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-6.83%
P05–P95 span
14.40%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.56%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.87%P25: -9.38%P50: -6.83%P75: -1.01%P95: 2.53%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.