207940

삼성바이오로직스KR05/17/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.88%
P05–P95 span
12.22%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.39%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.03%P25: -2.65%P50: -0.88%P75: 0.88%P95: 6.19%

Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.