Insights / kr
207940
삼성바이오로직스KR05/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.52%
P05–P95 span
10.36%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.36%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.08%P25: -2.33%P50: -0.52%P75: 0.84%P95: 4.29%
Computed at: 05/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.