Insights / kr
207940
삼성바이오로직스KR04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.65%
P05–P95 span
14.93%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.24%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.07%P25: -2.29%P50: 0.65%P75: 3.51%P95: 6.86%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.