Insights / kr
207940
삼성바이오로직스KR04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.56%
P05–P95 span
13.28%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.66%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.28%P25: -5.81%P50: -2.56%P75: 0.97%P95: 4.01%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.