Insights / kr
204320
HL만도KR06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.96%
P05–P95 span
14.09%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
-2.34%
Outer 90%
2/3(67%)
Middle 50%
2/3(67%)
Above median
1/3(33%)
Below median
2/3(67%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.96%P25: -3.50%P50: -0.96%P75: 1.84%P95: 6.13%
Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 21.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.