204320

HL만도KR05/27/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.25%
P05–P95 span
20.67%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-21.63%
Outer 90%
3/9(33%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.38%P25: -3.23%P50: -0.25%P75: 3.86%P95: 12.29%

Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.