Insights / kr
204320
HL만도KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.67%
P05–P95 span
15.41%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.41%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.76%P25: -4.27%P50: -2.67%P75: 0.54%P95: 8.65%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.