Insights / kr
204320
HL만도KR05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.15%
P05–P95 span
29.43%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.41
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.76%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.21%P25: -4.59%P50: -0.15%P75: 4.69%P95: 18.22%
Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.