Insights / kr
204320
HL만도KR04/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.50%
P05–P95 span
13.99%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.71%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.49%P25: -1.27%P50: 1.50%P75: 3.74%P95: 8.50%
Computed at: 04/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.