Insights / kr
204320
HL만도KR04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.46%
P05–P95 span
22.01%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.51%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.74%P25: -2.49%P50: 1.46%P75: 4.12%P95: 15.26%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 6.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.