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HL만도KR04/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

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Median move
-2.51%
P05–P95 span
12.78%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+8.40%
Outer 90%
1/10(10%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.49%P25: -4.89%P50: -2.51%P75: 0.19%P95: 2.29%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 7.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.