Insights / kr
192820
코스맥스KR06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.77%
P05–P95 span
16.34%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+3.49%
Outer 90%
2/3(67%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
3/3(100%)
Below median
0/3(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.20%P25: -3.72%P50: -0.77%P75: 1.31%P95: 7.14%
Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.