Insights / kr
192820
코스맥스KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.68%
P05–P95 span
28.17%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.44
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-7.32%
Outer 90%
8/9(89%)
Middle 50%
2/9(22%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.59%P25: -4.52%P50: -1.68%P75: 1.18%P95: 14.57%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 23.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.