Insights / kr
192820
코스맥스KR05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.67%
P05–P95 span
13.94%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.43%
Outer 90%
1/10(10%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.85%P25: -5.02%P50: -1.67%P75: 0.15%P95: 4.09%
Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 21.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.